分类归档 xiyu

　　Degang Guo appeared in the dressing room.

Mahua Fun Age

　　Deng Minghe brother and sister

　　Yesterday, CCTV year of the snake Spring Festival Gala officially entered the rehearsal stage with makeup for the first time. Although most of the big stars did not show up, various programs of the whole Spring Festival Gala have already begun to take shape. In the future, there will be a rehearsal every other day until New Year’s Eve. Yesterday’s rehearsal started at two o’clock in the afternoon, and more than forty programs appeared one by one after five hours. Shenyang evening news reporter learned that Na Ying, Song Zu Ying, Mahua FunAge, Du Chun, Jerry Lee, Amanda, Sun Tao, Yan Xuejing and other big stars came to the waiting area of CCTV No.1 Studio early to rehearse and wait. As the "secret weapon" of this year’s Spring Festival Gala, the unknown comic actor Degang Guo and his partner Yu Qian made their debut at the rehearsal scene of CCTV Spring Festival Gala. As the "fighter" among the Spring Festival Evening stars who came to attend the rehearsal yesterday, Degang Guo appeared quite low-key, and immediately hid in his dressing room after entering the CCTV building.

　　Appearance: Degang Guo settled in Zhao Benshan dressing room.

　　Without the Spring Festival Gala in Zhao Benshan, Degang Guo has become the biggest "secret weapon" of language programs. At about 4: 30 yesterday afternoon, Degang Guo first appeared in the rehearsal of CCTV Spring Festival Evening in a dark green down jacket. Although in order to avoid the reporters’ encirclement, Degang Guo specially put on sunglasses, but the eagle-eyed reporter still found the sight of Lao Guo. Degang Guo, who entered the waiting area, was very confident. He said that his works had been revised many times for the stage of the Spring Festival Evening, and the previous small-scale performances were also recognized by the audience, so this time he came prepared. Then he went straight into his dressing room. Because Hong Kong and Taiwan stars such as S.H.E and Yoga Lin can’t appear until February 5th, Degang Guo undoubtedly became the most concerned star of the Spring Festival Gala that day. Degang Guo’s cross talk "Running after Happiness" shows the story of little people pursuing happiness, which is full of positive energy. The reporter found that Degang Guo’s cross talk was placed in the middle and back of the whole Spring Festival Evening, which was before the bell rang, and it was very close to the time when Zhao Benshan’s sketches appeared in the past. Even yesterday, Degang Guo moved into the dressing room that CCTV only used for Zhao Benshan in previous years. Some netizens ridiculed: "Degang Guo began to take over the baton of Uncle Benshan. As soon as his cross talk is over, we can set off firecrackers."

　　Mix and match: Song Zu Ying joins hands with celine dion.

　　Since shenyang evening news reported that celine dion will be on CCTV Spring Festival Evening, the voice of the international pop diva appeared at the rehearsal scene of the Spring Festival Evening yesterday. Judging from the exposed Spring Festival Gala program, Song Zu Ying will sing the world-famous China song Jasmine before celine dion. However, there were two voices at the rehearsal of the song Jasmine. It turned out that celine dion would sing this famous song with Song Zu Ying. Later, celine dion sang "My Heart is Eternal" alone, bringing dolphin sounds that shocked the audience. An international pop diva and a China folk song queen, the mix of the two can be described as full of attractions. However, this mix and match is not amazing. The reporter learned that Taiwan Province’s new generation singer Yoga Lin, known as "psychedelic singing", will sing "the Goddess Chang’e flying to the moon" with the folk song Colette Chen Sisi. What kind of unique audio-visual feast will be brought by two singers with completely different styles? It is worth looking forward to.

　　Form: Continue the Star Family Gala.

　　In the actor waiting area, the reporter found that many famous stars are practicing for their programs over and over again, trying to present their best performance to the audience. Tian Hou Na Ying practiced songs selflessly in the lounge with lyrics in her hand; As a frequent visitor of CCTV Spring Festival Evening, the famous actor Sun Tao led Amanda, Wang Xihua and Fang Qingping to carefully align the words for the sketch in the chaotic waiting area.

　　Yesterday, reporters in the waiting area also found popular idol actors Jerry Lee and Du Chun. A few days ago, Du Chun appeared in a public welfare magazine and confirmed that he had received the invitation of the Spring Festival Evening and had the first rehearsal. He revealed that the performance form would be a "cross-border" cooperation, but when asked if it was possible to partner with Olympic champion Sun Yang, he was very strict and avoided talking about it. Although there is news that the audience will be increased, the round table format has been cancelled. However, the reporter learned that year of the snake Spring Festival Gala will continue the form of star family reunion last year, and the appearance of Jerry Lee and Du Chun is likely to be rehearsed as star family members.　

[car home Information] Recently, Yu Chengdong, the chairman of Huawei’s smart car solution BU, said on social media that four months after its release, the number of new models (|) has exceeded 130,000. The last time the big data was released was on November 27th, when the official said that the new M7 had exceeded 100,000 units.

The new model M7 was officially launched and delivered on September 12th, 2023. According to the sales trend of car home App, the monthly sales volume of this model has been rising continuously after the introduction of the redesigned model. In August 2023, it sold 988 units, 5,248 units in September, 12,193 units in October, 17,039 units in November and 25,545 units in December.

Looking back at the changes of the new car, the length, width and height of the five-seat version of the new model are 5020/1945/1760mm and the wheelbase is 2820mm, which is 15mm lower than that of the current M7, and the original design style is maintained as a whole. Among them, the smart driving version will add a laser radar to the roof, which is a remarkable logo. The official said that the new car body was reopened, the body structure was upgraded, the welding production line was rebuilt, and brand-new high-strength steel and composite body materials were adopted.

A side-looking camera is added to the front fender, which is also used to match Huawei ADS 2.0 advanced intelligent driving system. The car’s slightly raised front and rear wheel eyebrows are matched with the 21-inch dense spoke rim shape, which makes it look muscular. At the same time, the car also provides optional electric pedals, luggage racks and electric suction doors. The longitudinal depth of the trunk is 1100mm, and the storage volume is 670L. After putting down the rear seat, the depth of the trunk is 2024mm and the volume is expanded to 1714L L.

The new M7 continues to maintain a minimalist style, only fine-tuning the color of the steering wheel, which will be consistent with the theme color in the car. The 10.25-inch curved full LCD instrument panel and the 15.6-inch central control panel have replaced most physical buttons.

The redesigned model will be equipped with HarmonyOS Intelligent Cockpit 3.0, and a variety of information screen savers will be added to display key information such as time, date and weather on the screen in real time with low energy consumption when the screen is off; Add super desktop function, support HarmonyOS mobile phone terminal application to get on the bus seamlessly, and realize the layout display of horizontal window with parallel horizon in the car-machine interface; All kinds of apps in the mobile phone open the corresponding addresses. After getting on the bus, by touching the car-to-car interconnection, the in-app addresses can be transferred to the HarmonyOS 3 car map; Two Huawei PADs can be loaded in the back row to realize the non-inductive connection between the car and the machine; Support offline map voice navigation, users have been to this destination, and the voice recognition rate of offline navigation can reach 99%; Through the immediate car preparation function of AITO App, the temperature inside the car can be identified, and the rapid temperature rise and fall function can be started adaptively to meet the demands of users for travel comfort in different seasons. Xiaoyi Wisdom Assistant supports up to 5 rounds of dialogue intention understanding.

It is worth mentioning that the new version of the M7 Intelligent Driving Edition will have a unique HUAWEI ADS 2.0 high-order intelligent driving system, equipped with 27 sensors including an overhead laser radar, 3 millimeter-wave radars, 11 high-definition visual perception cameras and 12 ultrasonic radars, which can realize the full scene and all-weather perception of dynamic and static targets (including alien objects).

Among them, lidar can achieve accurate ranging, high-definition visual perception camera can identify the environment, and the pixels of forward-looking binocular camera are as high as 8 million pixels. In addition, the general obstacle detection (GOD) network 2.0 was upgraded, and the general obstacle recognition rate reached 99%. Of course, for example, LCC+ lane cruise assistance enhancement, APA custom parking, sentry mode, flexible ramp up and down, active courtesy of pedestrians, etc., are all equipped.

In terms of power, the new M7 still adopts HUAWEI DriveONE extended-range electric drive platform, equipped with 1.5T extended-range hybrid system, and provides two-wheel drive version and four-wheel drive version. Among them, the four-wheel drive version only needs 4.8s for 0-100km/h acceleration, 1300km for full oil and full electricity under CLTC working condition, 240km for pure electricity, and 5.6L for fuel consumption per 100 km under feed working condition. In terms of parameters, the maximum power of the two-wheel drive version is 200kW, and the comprehensive maximum power of the four-wheel drive version is 330 HP. (Text/car home Qin Chao)

　　Author: Yu Zuhua (special researcher of Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought Research Center, the supreme leader of Shandong Province, and professor of ludong university Institute of History and Culture)

　　General Secretary of the Supreme Leader pointed out: "the Communist Party of China (CPC)’s history of uniting and leading the people of China to pursue national rejuvenation for more than 100 years is also a history of constantly exploring the road to modernization. After several generations of unremitting efforts, we have embarked on the road of Chinese modernization. " The exploration of the road to modernization runs through the course of the party’s struggle for more than a hundred years. Several generations of communist party people have persisted in their exploration and embarked on Chinese modernization, which is the broad road to create a better life for the people and realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. This road is inseparable from the unremitting efforts of the pioneers of the party during the new-democratic revolution. Reviewing this course and summarizing its experience and enlightenment is of great historical significance for the new era and new journey to comprehensively promote the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation with Chinese modernization.

　　The Historical Choice of China’s Modernization Road

　　The Communist Party of China (CPC), founded in July 1921, entered the historical stage under the background of "various national salvation schemes were introduced in turn, but all ended in failure" during the old democratic revolution. Since its founding, the Party has become the leading force of China Revolution and China’s modernization, which has promoted a comprehensive exploration from early modernization to seeking a modernization road that truly suits China’s national conditions. The exploration and formation of China’s modernization road is inevitable after the repeated setbacks of modernization in the old democratic revolution, the trend of China’s advanced elements’ reflection on western-style modernization, and the historical choice after the selection of various modernization schemes in the new democratic revolution.

　　Awakening after frustration. After the Opium War in 1840, various political forces fought against imperialism and feudalism in response to the historical disaster of "the country was humiliated, the people were humiliated and the civilization was dusty". People with lofty ideals promoted the transformation and modernization of utensils, systems and culture from different angles, and put forward plans such as "saving the country through industry" and "saving the country through science", but these efforts failed in the end, leading and promoting the development direction of modern China.

　　The turning point after introspection. In the minds of advanced China people in the second half of the 19th century and the early 20th century, western modernization was once a "blueprint for providing a bright future", but the first world war, 1929— The economic crisis in 1933 exposed the serious drawbacks of western modernization, which prompted all sectors of China society to deeply reflect on it, and the overall orientation changed from advocating western civilization to a non-capitalist future. In 1933, most of the 26 articles about China’s modernization in Shen Bao Monthly chose the socialist way or the non-capitalist way. Our party conforms to the historical trend, promotes the transformation from learning from France and Thailand to learning from Russia in the ideological trend of modernity reflection after World War I, and advocates the new democracy of "creating the premise for socialism" after the discussion on modernization caused by the economic crisis.

　　The choice after comparison. Chinese modernization is the inevitable result of historical choice. During the period of the new-democratic revolution, it was precisely under the circumstances that the bureaucratic capitalist modernization led by the Kuomintang regime was ruthlessly eliminated by history, and under the background that the liberal capitalist modernization expected by Anglo-American scholars "turned into a dream", it was proved by history that "more than 90% of the people in the country are in favor of it, and there is no other way to go" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 2, p. 679), which promoted the Chinese nation to stand in a new posture.

　　Creating the Political Premise of Modernization Development

　　In 1933, one of the topics of China’s modernization was "Difficulties and obstacles in China’s modernization" and "prerequisites" needed to promote China’s modernization. In this regard, our party had a clear answer in the founding period. The early leaders of the Party have realized that, fundamentally speaking, imperialism and feudal warlords are the two major obstacles that hinder China’s modernization process and disrupt the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. On September 13, 1922, the first issue of Guide Weekly issued the Declaration of this newspaper — — The preface to the Guide pointed out: "In China today, the civil strife of warlords is of course the biggest obstacle to peaceful reunification and freedom, and the foreign invasion of international imperialism is a demon that restricts the free development of our Chinese nation politically and economically." In the article "What is Imperialism" published by Li Da in April 1923, he pointed out: "We analyzed China’s chaotic sources politically and economically, and knew that there were two major obstacles that disturbed China, one was international imperialism, and the other was domestic military politics." Therefore, the historical task of the party in the period of democratic revolution is to "break" first, that is, to clear the way for modernization with anti-imperialist and anti-feudal struggles. In July 1922, the Second National Congress of the Communist Party of China adopted the "On the Democratic United Front"The Resolution of the National People’s Congress put forward the aim of "clearing away the oppression of imperialism by feudal warlords and building an independent country with real democratic politics" and formulated the anti-imperialist and anti-feudal democratic revolutionary program.

　　Mao Zedong profoundly explained the relationship between the democratic revolution and national industrialization, and proposed to create the necessary political premise for China’s modernization by striving for the victory of the new-democratic revolution. In On the Coalition Government, he pointed out that in semi-colonial and semi-feudal China, it is impossible to "develop industry, build national defense and benefit the people", and "the possibility of liberating the productive forces of China people and making them fully developed needs to be realized in the whole China" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, Volume 3, pp. 1080-1081). In the report "Current Situation and Our Tasks" in December 1947, "completing the reform of new democracy and realizing the unity and independence of the country" was regarded as the necessary basis for "changing from an agricultural country to an industrial country" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 4, p. 1245). At the end of 1948, in the article "Carry the Revolution through to the End", the realization of national independence and people’s liberation was regarded as "a prerequisite for transforming an agricultural country into an industrial country" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 4, p. 1375). The war of liberation overthrew the "three mountains" and established a powerful people’s democratic regime with modernization orientation, thus establishing the political premise and fundamental direction of China’s modernization.

　　The gestation and development of the transitional form of Chinese modernization

　　During the period of the new democratic revolution, the discussion and exploration of China’s modernization cannot avoid an important proposition: "Which way should China modernize? Capitalism or socialism?"? Early Marxists had a clear choice before and after the founding of the Party: they must develop industry with socialism. Li Dazhao pointed out in the article "Industry under Socialism" in March 1921: "The revitalization of China’s industry must be carried out in socialism" (Dawn, Volume 2, No.2). Cai Hesen pointed out in the article "Guidelines for Labor Movement in China" published in May 1922: "In any case, capitalism cannot be fully developed in China to solve China’s economic problems", and it should "develop China’s large-scale production with socialist production methods" (Pioneer No.7).

　　According to the three choices that the intellectuals focused on at that time: industrialization or agriculture, capitalism or socialism, westernization or China, the new-democratic modernization plan made a profound explanation in line with the world modernization trend and China’s national conditions.

　　One is "Strive for the industrialization of China", which depicts the goal of "transforming China from an agricultural country into an industrial country" and building a new democratic society. At that time, the understanding of the concept of modernization included not only the economic and technological changes with industrialization as the core in a narrow sense, but also the "overall changes in politics, economy and culture" in a broad sense.

　　On the economic and technological level, industrialization is regarded as the core connotation of modernization. The party’s industrialization thought was first expounded in the debate between "building the country by agriculture" and "building the country by industry" The early leaders of the Communist Party of China opposed Zhang Shizhao and others’ theory of "building a country through agriculture" and advocated promoting national industrialization. In July 1923, Qu Qiubai criticized Zhang’s article "The Parliamentary System and Warlords in Modern China". "It should not be said that China is still an agricultural country; Not to mention, China is an agricultural country, and it will stagnate forever ",pointing out that" China is gradually becoming a commercial industrial country from a patriarchal agricultural country according to historical logic "(Forward, No.1). Yun Daiying published in October 1923, "Can China not be industrialized?" "The article points out that" China will also become an industrial country and then it can survive on its own "(Shenbao, October 30, 1923). This fully shows that once the Party was founded, it consciously represented the development requirements of China’s advanced productive forces. Mao Zedong advocated "developing China industry" in the later period of the Great Revolution (Collected Works of Mao Zedong, Volume 1, page 43). Later, he talked about it in documents such as On the Coalition Government, Speech at the Jin-Sui Cadre Meeting, Report at the Second Plenary Session of the Seventh Central Committee in communist party, China, and On the People’s Democratic Dictatorship.From an agricultural country to an industrial country "or" national industrialization ". In addition to paying attention to industrialization, the other three aspects of the later "four modernizations", namely agriculture, national defense and scientific and technological modernization, have also been brought into view. Mao Zedong mentioned in "On protracted war" that "the innovation of military system can not be separated from modernization" and called for "fighting for industrialization and agricultural modernization in China" in the report of "On Coalition Government". Xinhua Daily has successively set up a supplement of "Natural Science" and "Special Page for Science", which shows that it attaches great importance to promoting the development of science and technology.

　　On the level of overall change, the new democratic program of trinity of politics, economy and culture is put forward. Mao Zedong put forward the goal of "building a new society and a new country of the Chinese nation" in "On New Democracy", resulting in the "new democratic republic" of "combining new democratic politics, new democratic economy and new democratic culture" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 2, pp. 663 and 709).

　　The second is to choose socialism and design a road map of "developing from a new democratic society to a future socialist society". Mao Zedong pointed out in his talk with American journalist Si Nuo: "The China Revolution consists of two articles, the first and the second", the first "carrying out the national democratic revolution" and the second "carrying out the socialist revolution". "At present, it is a national democratic revolution, which will turn into a socialist revolution when it develops to a certain stage" (Collected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 2, pp. 243-244).

　　Third, put forward the proposition of "Marxism in China", and explore the modernization road in line with China’s reality under the guidance of the theoretical achievements of Marxism in China. In October, 1938, Mao Zedong put forward that "Marxism should be China-oriented, so that it will have the characteristics of China in every performance" in his report on the New Stage made at the Sixth Plenary Session of the Sixth Central Committee. In his Theory of New Democracy, he pointed out: On the one hand, the new democratic republic is different from the old form, European-American style, bourgeois dictatorship and capitalist republic; On the other hand, it is also different from the Soviet-style, proletarian dictatorship and socialist Republic. "China’s economy must go ‘ Restrain capital ’ And ‘ Average land ownership ’ The road ","we must never establish a European-American capitalist society "; Nor does it copy Soviet-style socialism. In the stage of new democracy, "socialist agriculture has not been established in general", except for big banks, big industries and big businesses, "the private property of other capitalism is not confiscated" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, Vol. 2, pp. 675-679).

　　In a sense, the road of new-democratic modernization is the accumulation of quantitative changes in China’s modernization before the "qualitative change", that is, the establishment of the socialist system, and it is a vigorous seedling that breaks through the ground before it grows into a towering tree.

　　Lay a solid foundation for the exploration of Chinese modernization

　　The victory of the new-democratic revolution and the establishment of People’s Republic of China (PRC) show that the history of China and the people of China have finally made three correct historical choices since modern times, namely, they chose the Communist Party of China (CPC), Marxism and socialism, thus establishing the leadership, fundamental compliance and institutional foundation for Chinese modernization. National independence, people’s liberation and three historic choices have promoted the transformation and leap of China’s modernization road, and created fundamental social conditions for the comprehensive exploration of Chinese modernization in the whole country. As the largest ruling party in the world, the Communist Party of China (CPC) "has the qualification to lead the people’s revolution in China" (Selected Works of Mao Zedong, vol. 4, p. 1430), and also has the position of leading large-scale modernization. The leadership of the party determines the fundamental nature of Chinese modernization and is a strong driving force to stimulate Chinese modernization. Socialism has become a social system with obvious advantages. Socialism has provided new China with the basis for accelerating the development of social productive forces and the conditions for achieving common prosperity. Socialism determines the direction of Chinese modernization and is the institutional guarantee for ensuring its stability and far-reaching development. Marxism is a powerful spiritual force that makes China people "change from passive to active". The promotion of "Marxism in China" provides theoretical guidance for exploring Chinese modernization, and China-style Marxism is the fundamental follow-up of Chinese modernization.It is the three historic choices that made the modern capitalist modernization led by other forces turn into "socialist modernization led by the Communist Party of China (CPC)", made the modernization follow the example of "others" and made the passive and dependent early modernization of China turn into active and independent Chinese modernization, thus opening up a new era of China’s modernization process.

　　Guangming Daily (11th edition, August 30, 2023)

　　After the National Bureau of Statistics released the population data in 2021, local data were released one after another.

　　According to the statistics of the First Financial Reporter, up to now, 21 provinces have released the data of permanent residents in 2021. Among them, 16 provinces released data on the birth population in 2021. Among these 16 provinces, Guangdong, the largest economic province, ranks first, with a population of 1,183,100. The birth population in Shandong has dropped by nearly 60% in the past five years, and the birth population in Jiangsu has fallen below 500,000 for the first time in 44 years. In addition, the growth rate of resident population in seven provinces is negative.

　　It is worth noting that although only 16 provinces have released the data of the population born in 2021, according to the data of the past few years, Guangdong, Henan and Shandong, three populous provinces with a permanent population of 100 million, have been in the top three. At present, the birth population data of these three provinces have been released. From the available data, the birth population data of Guangdong ranks first in the country for three consecutive years.

　　16 provinces that have published birth population data (population unit: 10,000 people. Source of data: First Financial Reporter compiled according to public data in various places)

　　Niu Fengrui, a researcher at the Center for Urban Development and Environment Research of China Academy of Social Sciences, analyzed the First Financial Report. The high birth rate in Guangdong is largely related to the influx of people from Guangdong. Because the influx of people is mainly young and middle-aged, the population of childbearing age is particularly large. In addition, it is also related to the fertility will of Chaoshan and other places in Guangdong, with high fertility will and relatively high birth rate.

　　Guangdong was also the only province in China where the birth population exceeded 1 million last year. After Guangdong, Henan and Shandong ranked second and third, with a birth population of 793,000 and 750,400 respectively.

　　Among them, since 2016, the population born in Shandong, the third largest economic province, has changed greatly. In 2016, the population born in Shandong was 1,770,600, ranking first in the country, equivalent to 1/10 of the country, with 534,800 more births than the previous year; Among them, the birth rate of two children reached 63.3%, far exceeding that of one child. Shandong has also become the "most daring to have two children" province in China. In the following years, with the weakening of the universal two-child policy effect, the birth population in Shandong decreased rapidly, and in 2021 it was only 42.4% in 2016, which means that the birth population in Shandong decreased by 57.6% in the past five years.

　　The birth population in Hebei has also exceeded the 500,000 mark, reaching 533,000. The birth population of Jiangsu, the second largest economic province, is 479,800, which is only 40% of that of Guangdong. This is the first time that the birth population of Jiangsu has fallen below the 500,000 mark in 44 years (Jiangsu Statistical Yearbook 2021 published the data of birth population from 1978 to 2020).

　　In terms of the birth rate of permanent residents, only 6 of the 16 provinces are higher than 7.52‰ The national average. They are Qinghai, Gansu, Guangdong, Jiangxi, Fujian and Henan, all of which have reached or exceeded eight thousandths. Among them, Qinghai has exceeded 1%, that is, ten thousandths.

　　Generally speaking, the places with high birth rate are mainly concentrated in the west, south China and Henan and Jiangxi in the middle. Generally speaking, places with high birth rate are often places with low urbanization rate. However, two provinces with developed economy and high urbanization rate, such as Guangdong and Fujian, are influenced by traditional clan culture and other factors, and their fertility will is relatively high. For example, Chaoshan in Guangdong and Minnan in Fujian have relatively high fertility wishes.

　　"There are still quite a few people in our hometown who want to have three children." Mr. Bai, whose hometown is Anxi County, Quanzhou City, and currently works in Xiamen, has given birth to two daughters. Previously, because his wife was working in a public institution, the plan to give birth to three children could only be shelved. After the implementation of the three-child policy last year, the couple began to plan to have three children.

　　In contrast, the places with low birth rate mainly come from Northeast China, North China, Yangtze River Delta and Chongqing with high urbanization level. Among them, the birth rates in Jiangsu, Shanghai and Heilongjiang provinces are all below six per thousand. The birth rate in Heilongjiang is only 3.59‰ .

　　While the birth rate is low, the number of provinces with negative natural population growth rate is also increasing. The first financial reporter combed and showed thatOf the 16 provinces, 7 have negative natural population growth rates. Including Hebei, Hubei, Chongqing, Inner Mongolia, Jiangsu, Shanghai and Heilongjiang. Among them, the natural population growth rate of Heilongjiang in 2021 is -5.11‰ , the lowest in the country. Jiangsu, Hubei and Inner Mongolia all turned negative for the first time in recent decades.

On October 17th, diners tasted Chongqing hot pot at the 12th Hot Pot Food Culture Festival of Chongqing International Expo Center. Xinhua News Agency reporter Huang Weishe

On October 21, tourists took a sightseeing boat to visit Populus euphratica on the river bank in Luoburen Village Scenic Area, Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. Photo by Li Fei (People’s Vision)

　　"Did you sweep the goods?" This is a greeting commonly used by people in double 11. Nowadays, in addition to physical consumption, service consumption with high quality and good price has sprung up online and is favored.

　　Take advantage of the "double 11" promotion to buy air tickets, book hotels and eat buffets … … The service consumption is full of vitality. What are the characteristics of online service consumption in double 11 this year? What is the development trend? How to treat consumers’ demand characteristics and consumption psychology?

　　New technology with hotline service consumption

　　— — The deep integration of the new generation of information technology and service industry has broken the time and space constraints of both the supply and demand sides of service consumption, and promoted the supply of online service consumption to be more diverse and sufficient.

　　"The night view of Beijing is beautiful from here, so you can enjoy it while eating." At the top of a skyscraper in Chaoyang District, Beijing, Li Xuan and his girlfriend are sitting in a restaurant overlooking the night in the city.

　　Li Xuan is a young man who has been working for a short time. Although he doesn’t have much savings, he rented the membership card of this restaurant online and brought his girlfriend to the restaurant for dinner, enjoying a 50% discount. "On the major e-commerce platforms, there are many membership card rental services for such high-consumption hotels and restaurants. It only costs tens of yuan to more than 100 yuan at a time, but it can save hundreds of yuan or even more. ‘ Double 11’ Starting with the activity price, it feels very worthwhile. " When it comes to this shopping experience, Li Xuan is very satisfied.

　　"When people reach middle age, health is the most important." Liu Ji has just participated in the physical examination of employees organized by the company recently, but he is not satisfied with the coverage of the physical examination items, so he bought a "VIP-level" physical examination service of a commercial medical institution on the e-commerce platform. "There are so many physical examinations in the screening project, and the medical institutions outside usually sell two or three thousand yuan, but the online promotion is not in 500 yuan. After using it, my wife and I feel that the project is really comprehensive and the medical staff service is good, so I will give it to four old people at home. All bought it."

　　After "June 18th" in summer, "double 11" and "Double 12th" came one after another, and online shopping ushered in another golden time. In addition to the continued popularity of various physical goods, online service consumption is also popular among consumers.

　　“‘ Double 11’ Not only is the price of buying physical goods low, but it is also cost-effective to buy services. " Lu Xianzhi, a second-year graduate student who is looking for a job, took advantage of an e-commerce platform for education and training to launch an activity price and bought several online job-hunting counseling courses such as essay writing and interview skills. "Buying classes online is more flexible, more affordable, and does not require commuting. It is very suitable for fresh graduates who are busy with job hunting."

　　Catering and accommodation, membership rights, domestic service, online office, knowledge payment, seeking medical advice … … The popularity of "double 11" online service consumption is the epitome of the rapid growth of service consumption in recent years. In 2019, among the per capita consumption expenditure of the national residents, the service consumption expenditure accounted for 45.9%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points over the previous year.

　　Zhao Ping, vice president of the Research Institute of China Council for the Promotion of International Trade, pointed out that the rapid growth of online service consumption scale is directly related to consumption upgrading. With the continuous improvement of residents’ income level, residents’ consumption structure has shifted from commodity consumption to both commodity and service consumption, and people have invested more in service consumption. Therefore, in recent years, the growth rate and proportion of service consumption in China have been rising continuously.

　　Zhao Ping pointed out that the application of new technologies is the main driving factor for the rapid growth of online service consumption. "With the upgrading of the industrial structure on the supply side, the digital level of the service industry has been continuously improved, and the new generation of information technology has been deeply integrated with the service industry, further breaking the time and space restrictions of the supply and demand sides of service consumption, and accelerating the release of the growth potential of the service consumption market. It can be said that new technologies have spawned new formats. " Zhao Ping said.

　　"Suixin" products are applauded and popular.

　　— — Service providers segment the market and introduce products with more favorable prices, wider use and fewer restrictions to meet the needs of consumers.

　　Accommodation, catering, entertainment, transportation, health care, education … … The services that residents buy every day are all-encompassing, and what is offline, what is online. The fire of "double 11" is also lighting up the field of service consumption, attracting various service providers.

　　This year’s "double 11", e-commerce platforms and various merchants have come up with eye-catching preferential prices, and strive to get a slice of the emerging online service market as the first "double 11" after consumption picks up and demand is released. JD.COM, an established e-commerce company, and Zhuyu, a Taobao company, followed suit in service e-commerce. For example, Ctrip’s "double 11 Shopping Festival", the free "Quality Renting Festival" and the "Golden Autumn Shopping Festival" held by cargo workers made consumers dazzled.

　　A few days ago, the National Development and Reform Commission and other 13 departments issued the "Work Plan for Expanding Domestic Demand and Promoting Consumption in the Near Future", and introduced a number of measures to accelerate the offline service consumption and fully release the online economic potential. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that this year’s epidemic has brought valuable opportunities to online consumption while deeply curbing offline close-knit consumption. Online medical care, smart sports, online education and other service consumption are booming, so we should take advantage of the situation and seize the opportunity to further release the service consumption potential.

　　"I accidentally found the ‘ launched by an seascape hotel in Dali online. Live as you please ’ Products, the price is very low, can be used at any time within one year except the Spring Festival and the Eleventh Golden Week, plus the previous purchase of an airline ‘ Fly with your heart ’ The family can often go to the seaside for a holiday. " Shi Fang and his wife, who live in Beijing, often travel to Yunnan recently. By purchasing "whatever you want" service to travel abroad, they have compressed the "big head" of travel expenses such as transportation and accommodation to the extreme.

　　According to Shi Fang, the round-trip flights between Beijing and Dali operated by the airline are available every day, which are used in conjunction with the "live at will" products of local hotels. It is as convenient to visit Erhai Lake as to visit Kunming Lake in the Summer Palace. "For consumers, this ‘ Suixin ’ The more products, the better. "

　　Since the beginning of this year, the civil aviation industry has been greatly affected by the epidemic. With the situation of epidemic prevention and control stabilizing, the domestic consumption engine is rekindled, and people’s travel demand is gradually released. To this end, a number of airlines have launched products such as "flying at will" to provide passengers with unlimited flights within a specific period of time and under specific conditions, which makes consumers both applaud and seat. Apart from the civil aviation industry, there are many similar service products, such as 28 -89-day "free rent" in CAR Inc., and "free stay" introduced by several hotel chains and Sesame Credit, involving accommodation, catering, tourism and other industries.

　　Experts pointed out that this kind of products is not new, and its recent vigorous development is mainly due to the fact that the economy has recovered from the epidemic and can meet the needs of encouraging consumption. "The popularity of such products is the result of market segmentation of practitioners, and they are more favored by consumers who are price-sensitive and have relatively ample time." Zhao Ping believes that "Suixin" products, on the one hand, stimulate consumption with low prices and help the recovery of related industries, on the other hand, they also release very large preferential dividends to consumers.

　　There is still room for improvement in online service supply.

　　— — The impact of epidemic situation on service consumption is more lasting than that of commodity consumption. It is necessary to introduce more high-quality resources, improve online supply capacity, and accelerate the process of standardization and standardization.

　　From a micro perspective, how to efficiently and reliably complete the whole process of "use-to-pay" consumption behavior in online service consumption market is a topic faced by buyers and sellers.

　　Taking "Suixin" products as an example, some consumers said that "Suixin" products may face the rules and regulations set by service providers in advance when they are redeemed, which will affect the consumption experience. "Take the airlines ‘ Fly with your heart ’ As far as products are concerned, when I bought them, I thought very beautifully. In fact, there are certain restrictions on shifts, return and change of visas, and it is not completely used ‘ Suixin ’ 。” Shi Fang said.

　　"There will be more such market segmentation products in the future, which is the embodiment of the differentiated price strategy of merchants. In this regard, consumers should have a comprehensive and full understanding of the content and restrictions of products and services, and avoid blind consumption and impulsive consumption. Market regulators should also pay attention to ‘ Suixin ’ Whether such products violate the principle of fair competition, whether there is exaggerated publicity in the sales process, etc., and timely supervise and investigate relevant violations of laws and regulations. " Zhao Ping said.

　　From a macro perspective, in sharp contrast to the offline market where physical consumption and service consumption each occupy half of the country, the online market service consumption performance is not eye-catching. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that the online economy in China has developed rapidly in recent years, in which online sales of physical consumption is a relative "long board", while online sales of service consumption is still a relative "short board", accounting for less than 20%, and there is still much room for expansion and promotion.

　　Experts pointed out that there are still many places to be improved in the current online service consumer market as a whole. "The demand for online service consumption market is huge, but due to insufficient supply capacity, the demand has not been fully met, and it is still difficult for the supply side to match the demand in terms of scale, quality and structure." Zhao Ping pointed out that in the field of service consumption, long-term problems such as excessive prepayment still affect the protection of consumers’ rights and interests in the online service consumer market, and this market growth potential needs to be further explored.

　　In the future, how to promote the rapid and healthy development of the online service consumer market?

　　Zhao Ping believes that this year, China’s commodity consumption has exceeded the level of the same period last year and entered the upward channel, and the growth rate has increased month by month, but the service consumption has not recovered to the level of the same period last year. The impact of the epidemic on service consumption is deeper and more lasting than that of commodity consumption. Promoting the growth of online service consumption is of great significance to alleviate the impact of the epidemic on consumption. Therefore, it is necessary to coordinate the prevention and control of epidemic situation and the development of service industry, and continuously restore the service supply capacity.

　　"On the one hand, we should introduce more relevant measures to expand the opening of the service industry, fully introduce high-quality resources such as technology, capital and management, and enhance the online supply capacity of the service industry; On the other hand, we should strengthen the construction of relevant systems for the protection of consumers’ rights and interests, speed up the process of standardization and standardization of service products, and make consumers feel confident and bold in online service consumption. The regulatory authorities should promptly investigate and deal with violations and products, promote fair competition, ensure consumers’ right to know, and enable consumers to clearly understand consumption. " Zhao Ping said.

On July 25th, the symposium of responsible comrades of the national industrial and information technology authorities was held in Beijing. The meeting thoroughly studied the spirit of the series of important speeches by the Supreme Leader General Secretary, comprehensively implemented the spirit of the 20th Party Congress and the spirit of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, summed up the work since this year, analyzed the current situation, deployed key tasks in the next stage, solidly promoted new industrialization, accelerated the construction of a manufacturing power and a network power, and ensured the full completion of the annual objectives and tasks. Jin Zhuanglong, Party Secretary and Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, attended the meeting and delivered a speech. Zhang Kejian, member of the party group, vice minister and director of the State Bureau of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense, presided over the meeting. Wang Jiangping and Xin Guobin, members of the party group and vice ministers, Ye Min, member of the party group and head of the discipline inspection and supervision team stationed in the Ministry, Xu Xiaolan, vice minister, Zhang Yunming, member of the party group and director of the State Tobacco Monopoly Bureau, Zhang Jianmin, chief engineer of the Ministry, and Gao Dongsheng, chief economist of the Ministry attended the meeting.

The meeting pointed out that since the beginning of this year, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with the Supreme Leader as the core, industrial and information systems have been developed.Adhere to the guidance of Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought of the Supreme Leader in the New Era, comprehensively implement the spirit of the 20th Party Congress,Carry out in-depth education on studying and implementing the theme of Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought of the Supreme Leader in the new era,In accordance with the arrangements made by the Central Economic Work Conference and the two sessions of the National People’s Congress, we implemented the tasks of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability, implemented the new development concept completely, accurately and comprehensively, accelerated the construction of a new development pattern, made great efforts to promote high-quality development, and made positive progress in all key tasks.Promote the steady recovery of the industrial economy,In the first half of the year, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.8% year-on-year, and that of manufacturing enterprises above designated size increased by 4.2% year-on-year.Solidly promote innovation in key areas,Important progress has been made in tackling key technical products. The C919 large passenger plane has been put into commercial operation, and the first domestic large cruise ship has been successfully docked.Vigorously cultivate advanced manufacturing clusters,Start the cultivation and upgrading of national advanced manufacturing clusters.Promote high-end, intelligent and green development,There are more than 270,000 industrial Internet logo analysis system service enterprises, more than 240 influential industrial Internet platforms, and nearly 8,000 digital workshops and smart factories have been built in various places.Promote the orderly transfer of manufacturing industry,Hold docking activities for manufacturing transfer and development and promote the signing of a number of major projects.Solidly promote the specialized and innovative development of small and medium-sized enterprises,Improve the policy of benefiting enterprises, optimize enterprise services, continue to do a good job in preventing and resolving the arrears of accounts for small and medium-sized enterprises, strengthen the cultivation of specialized and new small and medium-sized enterprises, and promote the development of large and medium-sized enterprises to achieve new results.Promote the high-quality development of the information and communication industry,A total of 2.937 million 5G base stations have been built and opened, and 110 "Gigabit Cities" have been built. The application of "5G+ Industrial Internet" convergence has been accelerated, and the tasks of communication services, network security and radio security for major events have been successfully completed.Comprehensively promote open cooperation,China-ASEAN Forum on Emerging Industries was successfully held.

The meeting stressed that to do a good job in the next stage, the whole system should adhere to the guidance of Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought of the Supreme Leader in the New Era.Fully implement the spirit of the 20th Party Congress and the spirit of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, take the theme education as an opportunity, conscientiously implement the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, and do a solid job in the implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan, industrial base reconstruction, major technical equipment research, industrial science and technology innovation, industrial structure optimization and upgrading, information and communication industry development, national defense science and technology industry capacity building, and stable development of the tobacco industry, so as to ensure the completion of the annual objectives and tasks and promote the quality and effectiveness of the industrial economy.

The meeting stressed that we should make every effort to promote steady industrial growth,Do a good job in publicizing and implementing the work plan for steady growth of key industries, study policies and measures to promote technological transformation, improve the normalized communication mechanism with enterprises, give full play to the joint efforts of various policies, stabilize enterprise expectations and boost industry confidence.Effectively ensure that key industrial chains are autonomous and controllable,Strengthen overall scheduling and supervision, compact the responsibilities of all parties, improve industrial policies, strengthen the construction of talent teams, and enhance the quality of industrial development and the advantages of the whole industry chain.Pay close attention to the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries,In-depth implementation of the "three products" action of increasing varieties, improving quality and creating brands, promoting the excellent quality project of manufacturing industry, accelerating digital transformation, building a waste recycling system, promoting green and low-carbon development, striving to improve the level of high-end, intelligent and green, and doing a good job in industrial transfer.Focus on cultivating and expanding emerging industries,Do a good job in the construction of the national manufacturing innovation center, enhance the ability of industrial scientific and technological innovation, strengthen the forward-looking layout of future industries such as general artificial intelligence, 6G and quantum technology, and create new competitive advantages.Promote the specialized and innovative development of small and medium-sized enterprises,Thoroughly implement the "Opinions on Promoting the Development and Growth of Private Economy", adhere to the "Two Unswervings", pay equal attention to management and service, and give equal attention to assistance and development, further promote the special action to clean up the accounts owed to small and medium-sized enterprises, speed up the digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises, strengthen the construction of public service system for small and medium-sized enterprises, and enhance the sense of enterprise acquisition.Strengthen research on major issues in the fields of industry and information technology, such as new industrialization,Strengthen theoretical interpretation, plan ideas and measures, enrich work grasp, and enhance work foresight, initiative and creativity. Strengthen the construction of data mining ability, case analysis ability and problem judgment ability, and continuously improve the level of industrial economic operation analysis. Improve the industrial policy system in the new development stage, constantly optimize the implementation mode of industrial policies, and promote the synergy between industrial policies and policies such as finance, taxation, finance, trade, investment and talents.

The meeting stressed that to do a good job in the second half of the year, time is tight, tasks are heavy, and requirements are high. It is necessary to effectively unify thoughts and actions with the decision-making and deployment of the CPC Central Committee.Promote the theme education to go deeper and deeper, build the soul by learning, increase wisdom by learning, correct the wind by learning, promote dry by learning, and promote high-quality development with new weather and new actions to achieve new results.To master the correct working strategies and methods,Daxing investigates and studies, plans some tractive and provocative work, strengthens departmental coordination and departmental linkage, fully mobilizes the enthusiasm of all parties, strengthens the exchange and promotion of local typical experiences, and solidly promotes key tasks to make progress from time to time and achieve results on schedule.We should put formalism and bureaucracy in a more prominent position,We will build a dam to implement the spirit of the eight central regulations and their detailed rules for implementation, and continue to rectify the "four winds".We should get up the spirit of starting a business,Vigorously carry forward the spirit of "two bombs and one satellite", the spirit of manned spaceflight, the spirit of artisans, etc., advocate a strict and meticulous work style, unity and cooperation, professionalism and standardization, and firmly hold the three red lines of "honesty, confidentiality and safety".We must adhere to the people first and life first., do a solid job in the protection of communication facilities and emergency communication support, coordination and support of industrial and credit emergency products, carry out in-depth investigation and rectification of potential safety hazards in key industries, and resolutely prevent serious and serious production safety accidents.

Responsible comrades of the competent departments of industry and information technology in Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan and Hunan made exchange speeches. Responsible comrades of the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of the State Commission for Discipline Inspection of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, responsible comrades of the competent departments of industry and information technology in all provinces, autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the Central Government and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, responsible comrades of the Comprehensive Department of the State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense, the Office of the State Tobacco Monopoly Bureau, and various departments of ministries and agencies, and responsible comrades of party and government in subordinate units and universities attended the meeting.

According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on January 11th, in 2020, the national consumer price (CPI) rose by 2.5% compared with the previous year, and the year-on-year increase remained in the "2 range" for the third consecutive year, successfully completing the goal of "about 3.5%" proposed in the 2020 Government Work Report. In 2020, the ex-factory price (PPI) of industrial producers decreased by 1.8% compared with the previous year; In the month of December, CPI rose by 0.2% year-on-year and 0.7% quarter-on-quarter; PPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year and increased by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter.

Price operation is "high before and low after"

Dong Lijuan, senior statistician of the Urban Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that in December 2020, all regions and departments consolidated and expanded the achievements of epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, and the consumer demand of residents continued to grow. At the same time, due to special weather and rising costs, the CPI turned from falling to rising.

From a year-on-year perspective, the CPI in December 2020 changed from 0.5% in November to 0.2%. Among them, the food price changed from 2.0% in November to 1.2%, which affected the CPI increase by about 0.26 percentage points. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices rose by 0.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.1 percentage point from November. From the ring comparison, CPI changed from 0.6% in November to 0.7%. Among them, the food price changed from 2.4% in November to 2.8%, which affected the CPI increase by about 0.62 percentage points.

Guo Liyan, director of the Institute of Market and Price of China Macroeconomic Research Institute, believes that the main feature of CPI operation in December 2020 is that the prices of food and energy have turned from falling to rising, contributing about 85% and 15% to the increase of CPI respectively. Among them, due to the extreme cold weather, the production and transportation in some areas are slightly blocked, and the market supply is tight. In addition, the price of pork, fresh vegetables, eggs and other foods has increased from the previous month, which is the main factor to promote the CPI recovery; Affected by the rise in international crude oil prices, gasoline and diesel prices rose slightly month-on-month, which also supported the CPI recovery to some extent. The month-on-month and year-on-year increase of core CPI excluding food and energy are basically the same as those in November 2020, indicating that the current economic operation is basically stable, the supply and demand are dynamically matched, and the stability of CPI operation is further enhanced.

"In 2020, the CPI operation showed an obvious trend of’ before high and then low’, rising by 2.5% for the whole year, maintaining a reasonable operation range, and successfully achieving the annual price control target." Guo Liyan analyzed that after the outbreak of COVID-19, according to the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, the relevant departments fully implemented the work of ensuring supply and stabilizing prices of key commodities for people’s livelihood, strengthened the foundation of "vegetable baskets" and "rice bags" in various places, intensified efforts to restore production and supply, and accurately put in place measures such as emergency support, reserve adjustment and import adjustment. Since the second quarter, CPI has shown a steady downward trend. Although the prices of individual commodities fluctuated in the third and fourth quarters due to seasonality, extreme weather and sporadic epidemics, the overall trend continued to decline steadily, and the annual trend was in line with expectations.

The price of industrial products continues to rise.

"In December 2020, domestic demand recovered steadily, and the prices of some international commodities continued to rise, driving the prices of industrial products to continue to rise." Dong Lijuan said.

From a year-on-year perspective, the PPI decreased by 0.4%, which was 1.1 percentage points narrower than that in November 2020. Among them, the price of means of production decreased by 0.5%, and the decline narrowed by 1.3 percentage points; The price of means of subsistence fell by 0.4%, and the decline narrowed by 0.4 percentage points.

From the ring comparison, PPI rose by 1.1%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points over the previous month. Among them, the price of means of production rose by 1.4%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points; The price of means of subsistence rose by 0.1%, the same as in November 2020. Among the major industries, affected by the international crude oil price increase and other factors, the price of oil and natural gas mining industry rose by 7.9%, the price of oil, coal and other fuel processing industry rose by 5.3%, and the price of chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry rose by 2.3%, all of which expanded, which affected the PPI to rise by about 0.37 percentage points. As the domestic market demand continues to pick up, and the prices of international commodities such as iron ore and non-ferrous metals rise more, the prices of metal-related industries continue to rise. As the temperature at the end of the year was lower than normal, the demand for heating increased rapidly, which led to the increase of gas production and supply, coal mining and washing industry by 1.3 percentage points.

Guo Liyan believes that due to the rising prices of international crude oil, iron ore, non-ferrous metals and other bulk industrial raw materials, the prices of "three blacks and one color" industries such as domestic petroleum and petrochemical related industries, ferrous and non-ferrous metal smelting and pressure processing industries have risen to varying degrees, thus supporting the PPI. The year-on-year decline has accelerated and narrowed, and it has fluctuated slightly around zero.

From the situation of the whole year, "with the acceleration of the resumption of work and production in major domestic industries, the circulation blocking points were opened in time, the supply and demand cycle and the market cycle were unblocked, and the upstream raw material prices gradually stopped falling and rebounded, returning to a reasonable fluctuation range, thus supporting the continuous narrowing of PPI year-on-year decline." Guo Liyan said.

Prices will be moderate in 2021.

Many interviewed experts believe that in 2021, CPI will show a trend of "first suppression and then promotion" and run within a reasonable range; The year-on-year increase of PPI is expected to turn from negative to positive, achieving a slight increase.

Guo Liyan believes that in early 2021, due to the high base, large negative hikes and the wrong month of the Spring Festival, the year-on-year increase of CPI may be at a low level and will remain in a reasonable operating range throughout the year. The decline of PPI will continue to narrow with the rebound of commodity price fluctuations, and it may turn from negative to positive in the first half of the year, and it is expected to increase slightly throughout the year.

Zhou Maohua, an analyst in the financial market department of China Everbright Bank, believes that CPI will show a steady upward trend in 2021. Affected by the high base in the next few months, the year-on-year increase of CPI may be in the contraction area, but then it will gradually pick up, and the price performance will be moderate throughout the year. Due to the good situation of domestic epidemic prevention and control and the continuous release of the effect of expanding domestic demand policy, China’s domestic demand will gradually return to normal level in 2021. The gradual spread of global vaccination and the introduction of unprecedented demand support policies by major economies will drive the price centers of energy and other commodities to a slightly higher level, and the prices of domestic industrial products will also gradually improve.

"Affected by the hikes and the overall weak demand, the year-on-year increase of CPI in the first quarter of 2021 may be negative. With the gradual recovery of demand, the year-on-year increase of CPI is expected to gradually return to positive after the second quarter, and inflation is expected to be moderate throughout the year. " Liu Xuezhi, a senior researcher at the Financial Research Center of Bank of Communications, believes that with the continuous acceleration of industrial production, PPI is expected to continue its upward trend, and positive growth is expected in the first quarter of 2021. (Reporter Xiong Li)